Bitcoin May Not Sustain $27K As Network Becomes Overvalued, Indicated By 5-Year High NVT Signal

The price of Bitcoin struggled to find buyers near the $28,000 mark and remained under the influence of sellers. Despite a significant correction, BTC’s price has stabilized around $27,000. However, this stability may not last long, as a key metric has reached a five-year high. The NVT signal, which hasn’t been this high since 2019, suggests that the price could soon decline to eliminate the unsustainable bubble.

Bitcoin Activity Won’t Support $27,000 BTC Price

While buyers may find peace in the relatively stable Bitcoin price around the $27,000 mark, their bullish hope could be short-lived due to a concerning metric. Glassnode’s data reveals that Bitcoin’s NVT signal (network value to transaction) has surged to 1,737.098, a level unseen in the past five years. This metric could potentially create a turmoil for BTC price near the current level.

NVT, developed by statistician Willy Woo, is a metric that assesses the relationship between on-chain activity and the price of Bitcoin. The NVT signal adjusts its measurements by employing a 90-day moving average of daily transaction volume instead of using raw data. This modification, as suggested by Glassnode, enhances the effectiveness of NVT and enables it to serve as a more reliable leading indicator.

Despite exhibiting a relatively stable price throughout the current year, in contrast to its historical volatility, Bitcoin’s NVT ratio has experienced a notable upswing since the beginning of 2023. The momentum was accelerated when the BTC price soared past the $20K mark, subsequently establishing itself above $30K recently.

Although Bitcoin’s value is currently less than half of what it was in 2022, the network volume has declined so significantly that even its present valuation of $27,000 may be unsustainable. A high Bitcoin NVT indicates that its network valuation is exceeding its transaction value, which can signal either robust growth and investor hype or an unsustainable price bubble.

What’s Next For BTC Price?

Bitcoin recently soared past the immediate resistance of $27,500, bringing a renewed hope of buying momentum. However, the effort to surge above is being prevented by sellers as BTC price struggles at EMA20. Currently, BTC price is trading at $27,440, surging over 0.31% from yesterday’s rate.

Bulls are anticipated to send the price towards $28,500 again, where they may face resistance from bears. A surge above the level will take the BTC price above $30K. However, on the bearish side, BTC price is expected to witness a rebound.

Initial support region on the downside is between $26,000-$26,500. A rebound from this level will indicate purchases by buyers near the dip, which can trigger an upward trend. To gain the upper hand, sellers must pull the price below this support range. However, the RSI level is trading above the midline at 52 and Bitcoin holds momentum above EMA200, which can weaken sellers’ demand.

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Ripple vs SEC: Pro-XRP lawyer says SEC May Seek Emergency Writ to 2nd Circuit: ‘But That Will be Denied’

In the ongoing legal battle between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple, a federal judge has denied the SEC’s request to appeal its earlier loss. District Judge Analisa Torres issued a brief ruling on Tuesday, stating that the SEC had not met the legal burden to show substantial grounds for differences of opinion.

Pro-XRP lawyer Fred Rispoli commented on the ruling, noting that while the July 13 victory was significant, this latest development is also a positive outcome for Ripple.

Judge Torres’ ruling seemed to express her frustration with the SEC’s approach to the case, with Rispoli interpreting it as a display of contempt for the SEC’s disrespect and misuse of her time. According to Rispoli, the SEC’s position took a turn for the worse during the Hinman Emails saga when it adopted seemingly contradictory stances, ultimately proving detrimental to its case.

One key takeaway from Judge Torres’ order, as pointed out by Rispoli, was a footnote highlighting the SEC’s presentation of shifting and inconsistent arguments regarding its legal theory about “Other Distributions.” According to Rispoli, this observation was an unusual departure from Judge Torres’ typical approach but was deemed necessary to underscore the SEC’s inconsistency.

“The SEC may seek an emergency writ to 2nd Circuit, but that will be denied. It would waste time and money, so I cannot put that at 0% probability. The order’s many references to facts yet-to-be-decided were saturated with implications by J. Torres that any arguments by SEC will be greeted from a starting point of being non-credible,” he wrote on X.

While the SEC may explore options such as seeking an emergency writ to the 2nd Circuit, Rispoli believes such a move is unlikely to succeed and would only waste time and resources. The judge’s repeated references to undecided facts in the case suggest a skepticism towards the SEC’s credibility in future arguments.

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“The SEC Lost Big”: Bill Morgan Breaks Down the Sweeping Defeat in Ripple Case

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recently lost a motion for an interlocutory appeal in its case against Ripple Labs, the company behind the cryptocurrency XRP. District Judge Analisa Torres denied the SEC’s motion, leading to a considerable stir in the legal and crypto communities. 

Australian lawyer Bill Morgan took to Twitter to dissect the court’s decision, emphasizing the comprehensive defeat suffered by the SEC. This article delves into Morgan’s key insights and explores the implications for Ripple and the broader crypto market.

According to him, the SEC failed to meet all three critical elements needed for an interlocutory appeal to proceed, and the court found the following. 

  1. There was no controlling question of law; 
  2. There was no substantial ground for differences of opinion; 
  3. An interlocutory appeal would not materially advance the ultimate termination of the litigation,” 

His remarks underscore the thoroughness of the SEC’s defeat, branding it a “complete loss” on all fronts. Morgan further pointed out that the court’s ruling did not conflict with decisions in similar cases, such as LBRY and Terra Labs, thereby quashing any hopes for the SEC to find a silver lining in comparative law.

One of the pivotal elements in crypto-legal battles is the Howey Test, a set of criteria used to determine if a financial instrument qualifies as a security. Judge Torres ruled that the Howey Test was irrelevant to this case, thereby striking down one of the SEC’s main arguments. Morgan concurred, reinforcing that there was no “substantial ground for differences of opinion” concerning the test’s applicability to Ripple’s XRP.

Although this is a setback for the SEC, the battle is far from over. The main trial is set for April 2024, and it promises to resolve lingering questions about the status of XRP as a potential security. As Morgan speculated, this could be an opportunity for Judge Torres to clarify her reasoning further, potentially making the case “appeal-proof.”

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Ripple vs. SEC: SEC is Wasting Judge Torres’s Time in a Disrespectful Way

Recent developments suggest that the SEC’s approach may wear thin with the judiciary in the ongoing legal battle between Ripple Labs and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). District Judge Analisa Torres, presiding over the case, has denied the SEC’s motion for an appeal. Echoing these sentiments, crypto influencer Freddy Rispoli opined that Judge Torres’ recent rulings signal contempt for the SEC, accusing them of “wasting her time” in a “disrespectful way.”

Judge Torres recently rejected the SEC’s motion for an interlocutory appeal, stating that the appeal would not “materially advance the ultimate termination of the litigation.” Her decision included references to “shifting and inconsistent arguments” made by the SEC about their legal theory on Ripple’s “Other Distributions.” For observers like Rispoli, such comments aren’t merely legal parlance but signs of exasperation with the SEC’s approach.

According to Rispoli, the judge’s remarks were uncharacteristically sharp, signaling a veiled critique of the SEC’s shifting arguments. This piercing analysis reflects the SEC’s narrowing options and focuses on the commission’s controversial actions, particularly related to the #HinmanEmails saga.

SEC is Mishandling

District Judge Torres denied the SEC’s pre-motion for an interlocutory appeal. The legal battle seems to have cornered the SEC, forcing them to re-evaluate their stance, especially as they march toward an impending trial in April 2024. This refusal to allow an appeal did not just affect the SEC but also resonated with the community.

Rispoli’s observation about the SEC’s mishandling finds a striking parallel in the controversial Howey Test. Judge Torres dismissed the SEC’s insistence on applying the Howey Test to the case, thus quashing one of their pivotal arguments. This move also bolstered Rispoli’s assertion about the SEC’s increasingly shaky ground in this legal wrangle.

XRP Market Reaction

Echoing the sentiments expressed by Rispoli, the XRP market experienced a 5% rally following the announcement of the denied motion. This pulse of positivity within the investor community is emblematic of the uplifted spirits among Ripple supporters, but it also casts shadows of what may come as the 2024 trial approaches.

With influencers like Freddy Rispoli providing a voice to community sentiment, the SEC may need to rethink its strategy if it hopes to regain judicial and public confidence. As the case heads toward its 2024 trial date, all eyes will be on how the SEC adjusts its approach to avoid “wasting time” in what has already become a high-profile, highly scrutinized legal battle.

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Litecoin Validates A Bearish Pattern – Will LTC Price Force Buyers To Exit?

As Bitcoin price struggles to maintain its momentum above the crucial $28K mark, it triggers a selling wave in leading altcoins. The ‘Uptober’ trend appears to be fading as leading altcoins, including LTC, flash red, signaling potential dips after validating a bearish pattern. With several on-chain data now indicating bearish signs, LTC price seems poised for another surge of selling pressure.

Litecoin’s Long/Short Ratio Surges Near The Dip

Following a drop in LTC price from $68, buyers rushed to sell off their positions to sidestep further losses. Coinglass data unveils that almost $1.6 million in long positions were liquidated in the past 48 hours. This activity has gradually strengthened the resistance level, paving the way for sellers to potentially capitalize on reversing the trend.

Additionally, Litecoin’s trading interest has declined, evidenced by a sharp decrease in the Open Interest (OI) metric. The OI metric plummeted by more than $11 million in the recent 24 hours, as LTC’s declining volatility struggled to capture market interest. Data from IntoTheBlock highlights a downturn in LTC’s volatility, which has been gradually decreasing for over a week, sliding from a peak of 38.4% to a low of 31.9%. This has emerged as a primary factor in Litecoin’s price decline.

Nonetheless, after the LTC price touched the $63 mark, a boost in confidence among long position holders was observed. The long/short ratio indicates a surge, currently trading at 0.9897, hinting at a fierce struggle between bulls and bears. At present, bulls are asserting their dominance with 49% long positions, while bears are responding with 51% short positions. Consequently, LTC price has managed to sustain a steady momentum below the $65 threshold.

What’s Next For LTC Price?

Litecoin price surged above $68 but failed to meet buyers’ expectation as sellers triggered intense pressure near this high. As a result, LTC price declined and buyers attempted to hold the momentum near $65 but failed due to increasing domination from sellers. As of writing, LTC price trades at $64.1, declining over 2.7% in the last 24 hours.

Typically, the rise of a bearish setup is viewed positively, as bulls, previously on standby, seize the opportunity to buy. After Litecoin reached the dip of $63, buyers bought in and pushed the price above 23.6% Fib channel. However, the price might soon dip and retest the breakout level of $62 before any significant upward movement occurs.

If the level of $62 sustains, it would indicate that bulls have successfully converted the region into a strong support. Hence, the Litecoin price might initiate an upward trajectory towards $65 and potentially further to $68 if it rebounds successfully.

Conversely, if the price declines and drops below the initial bearish zone, it would suggest that the markets have rebuffed the higher levels. The price might then visit the crucial support at $57.

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TON raises 8-figure sum from MEXC to make Telegram a Web3 super-app

The Open Network (TON), a decentralized blockchain platform originally designed by Telegram, has secured major funding from the venture arm of the cryptocurrency exchange MEXC.

TON has raised an eight-figure investment from MEXC Ventures, a subsidiary of MEXC’s global cryptocurrency exchange MEXC, the firm announced on Oct. 4. In conjunction with funding, MEXC and the TON Foundation have entered into a strategic partnership aiming to promote global Web3 accessibility by lowering the barriers of entry.

As part of the deal, MEXC crypto exchange will provide marketing services and promotion for the TON-based projects listed on their platform. The firm is also set to launch a TON collateral lending service and eliminate trading fees for the TON token. “The previous cost was the same for most cryptocurrencies on their exchange,” TON Foundation’s director of growth Justin Hyun told Cointelegraph.

Additionally, MEXC Ventures will continue funding TON-based mini apps in addition to ongoing support of TON-based projects like the autonomous protocol Megaton Finance, the GameFi platform TONPlay, Fanzee and Sonet. MEXC and the TON foundation are also discussing potential funding for Wallet on Telegram, Hyun said in a statement to Cointelegraph.

With the support of MEXC Ventures, TON Foundation aims to increase the adoption of the Web3 ecosystem within the Telegram messenger, Hyun said. He stated:

“The technology should be convenient and easy to use for anyone, no matter their knowledge of the world of blockchain. With TON on Telegram, crypto becomes as easy as texting.”

Telegram founder Pavel Durov has repeatedly pointed out the role of the TON blockchain in the potential Web3 journey of Telegram. In mid-September, Telegram integrated the TON Wallet as a mini-app, allowing users to access coins like TON (TON), Bitcoin (BTC) and Tether (USDT) directly from the app’s interface. Durov emphasized that the TON tech has been developed by the open source community rather than Telegram, also stressing that TON wallet is a third-party app.

Telegram was forced to terminate its involvement in the TON development in 2020 following a legal battle with securities regulators in the United States.

TON’s investor, MEXC Ventures, is a subsidiary of the centralized cryptocurrency exchange MEXC, founded in 2018 and registered in Seychelles, according to data from major crypto aggregators like CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap.

Related: Google and Goldman Sachs-backed AI firm AlphaSense raises $150M at $2.5B valuation

Some people in the crypto community have reported facing certain issues with MEXC, warning users about the risks or using a non-KYC exchange.

Trading nearly $600 million daily, MEX claims to hold licenses in Australia, Estonia and the United States, and claims to serve users in 200 countries.

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